151

What is this? — read me

151 is a test harness for a synthetic stop-loss on Kalshi — it is not a money-making strategy. Kalshi has no built-in stop order, so this bot proves we can detect a losing position and exit it automatically — quickly and reliably.

What it does for each MLB game:

  1. At first pitch (the game flips to Live), it buys YES on both teams' moneyline at market — roughly 50¢ + 50¢.
  2. It then watches each side's YES price. When one side falls Stop ¢ below the price it paid, that side is the loser → it's sold immediately to cap the loss.
  3. The other side (the winner) is held, not dumped. The game shows as holding while the bot waits for that side to rise Take-profit ¢ above its entry, then sells it for a gain and closes the game.

⚠ Because moneyline is binary (the two sides always sum to ~100¢), the moment the loser drops by the stop, the winner is already up by about the same amount. So for a game to finish net positive, set Take-profit ¢ higher than Stop ¢ — the winner must climb further than the loser fell. (e.g. stop 3¢ + take-profit 2¢ ≈ −1¢/game; raise take-profit to net a profit.) If the held winner never reaches take-profit and the team loses, it rides to settlement (a possible larger loss) — this is a test harness, not a guaranteed-profit strategy.

The goal is to prove the stop fires correctly, the winner is held, and the take-profit exits cleanly. Every game, leg, and action is recorded to the ledger (the lifetime stats below).

The controls: ENABLED / DISABLED turns new entries on or off (open positions are always managed either way). DEV → go LIVE switches between simulated and real-money orders. Size = contracts per side. Stop ¢ = how far the loser must drop to be sold. Take-profit ¢ = how far the held winner must rise above entry before it's sold. KILL instantly stops new entries.

⚠ Trades run on Shawn's Kalshi key. Safe defaults: DISABLED + DEV (simulation) — nothing real happens until both are switched.

MatchupStatus / InningPhaseLeg ALeg BP&LNote
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